Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.183926 0.213067 0.245319 0.283664 0.328021 0.377733 0.437697
2025-08-10 0.134682 0.172720 0.219234 0.280313 0.358465 0.455201 0.584212
2025-08-17 0.105852 0.145636 0.197755 0.271069 0.371657 0.505032 0.695724
2025-08-24 0.091411 0.133194 0.191100 0.277259 0.402407 0.577937 0.843594
2025-08-31 0.079245 0.121345 0.182600 0.278288 0.424311 0.639336 0.981218
2025-09-07 0.070455 0.112783 0.177106 0.282057 0.449448 0.706903 1.134730
2025-09-14 0.061264 0.102121 0.166722 0.276394 0.458509 0.749959 1.254202
2025-09-21 0.054388 0.094122 0.159296 0.274089 0.471957 0.800487 1.390529
2025-09-28 0.049492 0.088708 0.155280 0.276644 0.493281 0.865583 1.558069
2025-10-05 0.047127 0.087314 0.157785 0.290505 0.535372 0.970112 1.805953
2025-10-12 0.044323 0.084741 0.157827 0.299790 0.570042 1.064898 2.046684
2025-10-19 0.041582 0.081917 0.157021 0.307262 0.601944 1.157656 2.293722
2025-10-26 0.038322 0.077786 0.153457 0.309351 0.624396 1.236259 2.525200
2025-11-02 0.034728 0.072575 0.147243 0.305544 0.634893 1.293141 2.720899
2025-11-09 0.030919 0.066448 0.138485 0.295467 0.631324 1.321311 2.860503
2025-11-16 0.029194 0.064461 0.137887 0.302216 0.663427 1.425545 3.172493
2025-11-23 0.027126 0.061478 0.134851 0.303338 0.683482 1.506444 3.443033
2025-11-30 0.025514 0.059305 0.133285 0.307447 0.710448 1.604893 3.763884
2025-12-07 0.023258 0.055399 0.127469 0.301273 0.713402 1.650422 3.968547
2025-12-14 0.021497 0.052437 0.123447 0.298760 0.724479 1.715377 4.226265
2025-12-21 0.020258 0.050576 0.121753 0.301545 0.748400 1.812572 4.572960
2025-12-28 0.019891 0.050800 0.124996 0.316658 0.803971 1.990803 5.140729
2026-01-04 0.019226 0.050200 0.126179 0.326780 0.848257 2.146349 5.669434